CPOA Summary of the County SLR Vulnerability Assessment Project – Community Working Group discussions

The Community Working Group for the County SLR Vulnerability Assessment Project had it’s 3rd meeting on May 1, 2025 to review the preliminary study findings, Felt Maps showing coastal erosion with each foot of SLR, and to suggest potential Adaptation Strategies and Triggers for each Neighborhood. For more information see the CPOA Update, or go to the County SLR Vulnerability Assessment Project website at: https://cdi.santacruzcountyca.gov/Planning/PolicyPlanning/SeaLevelRiseVulnerabilityAssessmentProject.aspx, and review the draft Felt Maps by Neighborhood at: https://felt.com/map/SC-County-Hazards-ZIDVtY8cSQmIPs162Pg4AC?loc=36.957259,-121.980867,17.91z

CPOA Update: Santa Cruz County SLR Vulnerability Assessment Project – Community Working Group

The Community Working Group for the County SLR Vulnerability Assessment Project had it’s 3rd meeting on May 1, 2025 to review the preliminary study findings, Felt Maps showing coastal erosion with each foot of SLR, and to suggest potential Adaptation Strategies and Triggers for each Neighborhood. CPOA Board of Directors provided input on the potential adaptation strategies and triggers to address SLR and coastal erosion for 1) Twin Lakes/Corcoran Lagoon/East Cliff Drive, 2) Pleasure Point/Opal Cliffs, 3) Pot Belly Beach/Aptos/Beach Dr/Seacliff, and 4) Pajaro Dunes. Also CPOA has expressed a number of concerns and comments regarding the Vulnerability Project being conducted by Integral Consulting Group.

Public Access to the Santa Cruz County Sea Leve Rise Vulnerability Assessment Project

Please use the attached web link to access the County SLR Vulnerability Assessment Project and the Map for the Santa Cruz County coastline

CPOA Update – County Community Working Group on SLR Vulnerability Assessment Project and changes to the LCP

At the 2nd meeting of the County Community Working Group on 2/19/25, the project team presented the preliminary findings of the SLR Vulnerability Assessment Study for the Santa Cruz County coastline. The Sea Level is projected to rise 0.6 to 1.0 feet by 2050, and 1.6 to 4.9 feet by 2100 (Statewide average: Intermediate Low – Intermediate High scenarios), CA Sea Level Rise Guidance Policy for 2024. The Consultants evaluated the incremental impact on coastal resources and shoreline protection of each foot (1 – 3 feet) of Sea Level Rise over the next 20 – 30 years, and the potential impact of 4-6 feet of SLR over the following 30 – 70 years (up to 2100). Countywide, there would be approximately 200 structures “at risk” with existing armoring and one foot of SLR, 1,500 structures “at risk” without any armoring. With three feet of SLR, 500 structures would be “at risk” with existing armoring and 2,400 structures would be “at risk” without any armoring. County beaches would be approximately 75 feet narrower on the average with existing armoring. Most vulnerabilities are caused by erosion to residential buildings, with Seacliff, Rio Del Mar and Aptos neighborhoods having the highest number of structures “at risk”.

CPOA President, Steve Forer, appointed to the County’s Community Working Group for the Vulnerability Study to Address Sea Level Rise and Recommend changes to the LCP

Steve Forer, President of CPOA-SC, has been appointed to the Community Working Group for the Santa Cruz County Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment and Recommended Revisions to the County LCP for Coastal Beaches and Bluffs. The County of Santa Cruz is updating its coastal planning policies through a Local Coastal Amendment to address these issues. The study will consider the economic and environmental impact on land use and existing coastal structures, utilities and infrastructure, recreational and coastal access, transportation and coastal resources. Initially, six neighborhood study areas were proposed by the Consultants. See initial comments submitted by CPOA

CPOA Supports Amicus Brief filed by Nossaman re Casa Mira case appeal by CCC

Amici City of Del Mar, City of
Dana Point, Capistrano Bay District, Gary Grossman, Pajaro Dunes
Association, Pajaro Dunes North Association, Coastal Property Owners
Association of Santa Cruz, Alliance of Coastal Marin Villages, and Smart
Coast California respectfully submit that the words “existing structures” in
Section 30235 of the Coastal Act are necessarily and properly interpreted as
private and public structures existing at the time the Commission acts on an
application for coastal development permit.

CPOA Comment Letter to the CCC regarding the proposed SLR Policy Guidance for 2024

CPOA’s Comment letter challenges the CCC’s authority to REQUIRE that all coastal jurisdictions and property owners address the worst-case scenarios 4-5 (4.6 – 6.4 feet of SLR by 2100) in their LCPs or CDPs. These scenarios will bankrupt many counties, force property owners to remove their costal structures, resulting in “Managed Retreat”, “takings” of private coastal properties along most of the California Coastline, and the loss of over $2.5 billion dollars/year in coastal property taxes.

Coastal Commission issues new draft of Sea Level Rise Guidance Policy document for 2024

CCC just released a draft of the SLR Guidance Policy Document for 2024. According to the most recent best available science from the Ocean Protection Council (June, 2024), by the year 2100, sea levels in California may rise by 1.6 to 3.1 feet by 2100, under the most likely scenarios 2 (Intermediate Low) to Scenario 3 (intermediate) with a Probability of 49% to 96% (OPC 2024). • However, the California Coastal Commission in their recent draft Sea Level Rise Policy Guidance document (July, 2024) is requiring all coastal jurisdictions and property owners to plan for the worst case Scenarios 3 – 5 (Intermediate Low to High) an increase of 3.1 – 6.6 feet in SRL with a Probability of only 8% to 49%. This is an extreme position, which will result in potential over-kill in planning, designing and implementing strategies for future coastal development. These scenarios will bankrupt many counties, force property owners to remove their costal structures, resulting in “Managed Retreat”, “takings” of private coastal properties along most of the California Coastline, and the loss of over $2.5 billion dollars/year in costal property taxes.

CPOA Testimony for the Board of Supervisor’s Meeting on 2/13/24 re Contract Award to Integral Consulting

CPOA urges the Board of Supervisors to direct staff to re-issue RFP, ensure it reaches the appropriate contact people at each of the major Coastal Consulting firms, and to extend the deadline by 30 days.